Estonian Polls Show Opposition Dominance Despite Ruling Party's Rebound
Recent polls in Estonia show opposition parties commanding a combined 73.3% of public support, starkly contrasting with the ruling coalition's 17%, even as the senior government partner, the Reform Party, saw its own popularity climb to 15.2%.
- —Isamaa continues to lead in early 2026 Estonian political polls with 26.4% support, despite a slight weekly decrease.
- —The Center Party holds the second position with 20.7% support, showing a weekly increase.
- —The ruling Reform Party has maintained third place for two consecutive weeks, with its support rising to 15.2%, a significant increase since the end of the previous year.
- —The combined support for the ruling coalition parties, Reform Party and Eesti 200, stands at 17%, while opposition parties collectively garner 73.3% support.
- —Current public support levels contrast sharply with the distribution of seats in the current Estonian parliament (Riigikogu), where the ruling parties hold a majority of seats.
Recap
The latest Estonian political polling highlights a government operating with a severe public support deficit. The ruling coalition's parliamentary majority is mathematically secure but politically fragile, resting on public backing far below its opponents. The Reform Party's individual recovery is a key dynamic, suggesting it may be consolidating support at the expense of its coalition partner. This divergence between voter preference and parliamentary composition points to a volatile political landscape where the government's mandate is under implicit pressure from a majority of the electorate.