Estonian Coalition Partner Craters to 1% as Center Party Hits 7-Year High
January polling confirms Estonia's opposition commands 76% of voter support as the Center Party's rating climbed to a seven-year peak of 23%, while the ruling coalition's junior partner Eesti 200 collapsed to an unprecedented 1% backing.
- —The Center Party's support has grown for the third consecutive month, reaching 23% in January, its highest level in seven years, with gains observed among Estonian-speaking voters.
- —Isamaa remains the most popular party with 26% support in January, a two-point increase from December, maintaining its lead for several months.
- —Eesti 200, a party in the ruling coalition, has seen its support plummet to a record low of 1% in January, raising concerns about its ability to cross the electoral threshold.
- —Opposition parties collectively hold 76% of voter support, while the ruling coalition parties (Reform Party and Eesti 200) together have 14% support.
- —The Social Democratic Party, EKRE, and the Reform Party are closely trailing Isamaa and the Center Party, occupying third to fifth places in popularity.
Recap
The latest polling data reveals more than a simple shift in party preference; it signals a collapse in the ruling coalition's mandate. With just 14% support, the government's legitimacy is eroding, driven by the existential crisis facing its partner, Eesti 200, now at an unprecedented 1%. Concurrently, the Center Party's resurgence to a seven-year high transforms it into a primary contender, potentially challenging Isamaa's long-held lead and fundamentally reshaping the country's political calculus ahead of future elections.